A man walks past various currency signs outside a brokerage in Tokyo

Dollar rises on light trade, Swedish crown jumps

By Richard Leong

NEW YORK (Reuters) – The dollar rose for a second straight session on Monday in thin trading, after data suggesting the U.S. economy might be stabilizing following a soft patch in the first quarter helped the dollar recover after a two-week drop.

The greenback moved in tight ranges against major currencies as trading was thinned by market holidays in Britain and Japan.

The dollar index <.DXY> gained about 0.7 percent on Friday after data showed a jump in consumer sentiment and stronger-than-expected vehicle sales.

This gauge of the greenback against six major currencies was 0.2 percent higher on the day at 95.485 after data showing an in-line 2.1 percent rise in domestic factory orders in March.

Doubts, however, persisted over the U.S. labor market and whether Friday’s payrolls data would rebound from March’s slowdown and be strong enough to support bets the Federal Reserve might raise interest rates by year-end – which had been the factor behind the recent dollar surge.

“The nonfarm payrolls report is the big show this week. The dollar should tread water or soften going into Friday’s number,” said Jonathan Lewis, chief investment officer at Samson Capital Advisors in New York.

Economists polled by Reuters forecast that U.S. employers likely added 225,000 workers in April, rebounding from an increase of 126,000 in March, the smallest monthly gain since December 2013.

Data last Friday showed speculators had pared back bets on the dollar, pushing the currency’s net long positions to their lowest in 4-1/2 months. [IMM/FX]

“We need to see a couple of weeks of good data from the U.S. for the dollar to pick up again and get back on track,” said Sonja Marten, chief FX strategist at DZ Bank in Frankfurt. “If that doesn’t materialize, then all bets are off.”

The euro was down 0.5 percent against the greenback <EUR=> at $1.1138 following a report that showed German factory activity cooled in April from an 11-month high in March. It reached a two-month high of $1.1290 hit last week.

The dollar was steady against the yen at 120.10 yen <JPY=>.

Sterling slipped 0.2 percent to $1.5118 <GBP=D4> ahead of tight British parliamentary elections on Thursday, which may end with no party winning an absolute majority.

On the other hand, the dollar weakened 0.3 percent against the Swedish crown <SEK=> at 8.3549 crowns after stronger-than-expected Swedish manufacturing figures stoked bets a stronger crown would pressure Sweden’s central bank to ease policy.

(Additional reporting by Jemima Kelly in London, Masayuki Kitano in Singapore and Ian Chua in Sydney; Editing by Tom Heneghan and Jonathan Oatis)


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