Hillary Clinton may have gotten trounced in New Hampshire, but that doesn’t mean there’s no silver lining to her results in the first-in-the-nation primary. The former secretary of state lost by a 22-point spread, but thanks to the inscrutable weirdness of our electoral process, will likely leave the Granite State with as many delegates as victor Bernie Sanders.
It all comes down to superdelegates. Sanders is expected to rake in 15 delegates once the final tally is counted – he’s got 13 as of this afternoon, plus two “unpledged” delegates who are generally awarded to the winner of the popular vote. Clinton, meanwhile, won only nine delegates from the primary results – but that doesn’t include the six superdelegates whose support she had won before a single vote was cast. Those superdelegates – leaders within the New Hampshire Democratic party who are allowed to support any candidate they want to – bump Clinton’s delegate tally out of New Hampshire to 15.
Granted, some of those six superdelegates may be swayed to support Sanders after his record-shattering success in their state, and they’re allowed to change their support at any time. But as the delegate count stands now, Clinton and Sanders are tied.
The Clinton campaign has mounted an aggressive effort to secure about 360 superdelegates across the country, according to The Associated Press. Sanders has a total of eight superdelegates.
Rupert Murdoch put a fine point on the argument that Chris Christie’s epic smackdown of fellow presidential candidate Marco Rubio in the last Republican debate may have damaged his own presidential prospects today, comparing the New Jersey governor to a “suicide bomber.”
The billionaire tyrant, owner of News Corp. and its subsidiaries – among them the Wall Street Journal, Fox News, Sky News and, possibly, you and your entire family – is referencing the kamikaze-esque nature of Christie’s bout with the Florida senator, who he accused of using canned lines during the final Republican debate before the New Hampshire primary.
Rubio was gravely wounded by the exchange and finished in a tentative fifth place in New Hampshire, but Rubio’s loss wasn’t Christie’s gain. The New Jersey governor is expected to announce the suspension of his presidential campaign before the week is out after his own poor showing in New Hampshire put him at sixth place.
It’s that time in the presidential race when candidates start dropping out, but those who do are hardly losers. Patrick Gavin explains why it’s good business to run for president, and why each candidate (including Ben Carson and Carly Fiorina) has a lot to gain for trying.
More from uptown…
The Reverend Al Sharpton, speaking outside of Sylvia’s Restaurant in Harlem following a breakfast meeting with Bernie Sanders, said that he and the candidate discussed a wide array of issues relevant to African Americans. “I’ve asked him very bluntly about affirmative action,” Sharpton said. “I’ve asked him very bluntly about police brutality and police misconduct.”
Donald Trump isn’t the only one worried about the need to build a southern border wall to stem a potential torrent of immigrants seeking relief: Canada is nervous, too.
That’s if the results of a new poll are any indication. Nearly two-thirds of Canadian voters told Canadian polling form Leger that they are afraid of the prospect of Trump being elected president of the United States. A mere 13% have a favorable opinion of the real estate tycoon and recent New Hampshire primary victor, with 70% declaring that they have a poor opinion of him.
As for native son Ted Cruz, born to an American mother in Calgary, he’s almost as unpopular: 14% of Canadians told Leger that they have a positive opinion of Cruz, with 22% saying they have a poor opinion and one in three voters saying that they were too unfamiliar to have an opinion.
On the heels of Hillary Clinton’s team declaring that race will be a central issue of her campaign going forward, two prominent African Americans dropped a pair of not-quite endorsements of her rival for the Democratic presidential nomination.
Earlier this morning, Bernie Sanders enjoyed a chat with the Reverend Al Sharpton at Harlem’s iconic Sylvia’s Restaurant (try the chicken and waffles), agreeing to more involved meetings with Sharpton and other heads of national civil rights organizations in the weeks to come.
“My concerns is that in January of next year, for the first time in American history, a black family will be moving out of the White House,” Sharpton said. “I don’t want black concerns to be moved out with them.”
Shortly thereafter, writer Ta-Nehisi Coates told Amy Goodman on Democracy Now that he intends to vote for Sanders.
“I will be voting for Senator Sanders,” Coates said. “I have tried to avoid this question, but, yes, I will be voting for Senator Sanders. I try to avoid that, because I want to write as a journalist – do you know what I mean? – and separate that from my role as, I don’t know, a private citizen. But I don’t think much is accomplished by ducking the question. Yes, I will vote for Senator Sanders.”
Although neither counts as an endorsement of Sanders, per se – earlier in the interview, Coates said that although he “really, really want[s] to believe” in the Vermont senator, “it’s been very difficult to deliver on those promises that he said at the end: every person a job, every person a quality education, every person quality healthcare – while avoiding the issue of white supremacy.”
Coates further clarified on Twitter that his intention to vote for Sanders should not be construed as an endorsement:
After a meeting with presidential candidate Bernie Sanders Wednesday morning, the Reverend Al Sharpton stopped short of an endorsement, at least until after he hears more from the Senator, and from his opponent Hillary Clinton specific to issues facing black Americans.
“I’ve asked him very bluntly about affirmative action. I’ve asked him very bluntly about police brutality and police misconduct,” Sharpton said after the brief breakfast meeting Sylvia’s restaurant in the historically and predominantly black neighborhood of Harlem.
Sharpton said that Sanders, fresh off his commanding victory over Clinton in the New Hampshire primary has agreed to further, more involved meetings with the Sharpton and other heads of national civil rights organizations. Sharpton is the founder of the National Action Network and has been a highly visible figure in US race conflicts for decades.
“My concerns is that in January of next year for the first time in American History, a black family will be moving out of the White House. I don’t want black concerns to be moved out with them,” Sharpton said.
While Sharpton declined to issue an official endorsement Wednesday, other black leaders on hand for the morning’s meeting were much more strident.
“There’s no candidate in this race as fearsome in standing up for those who need allies in the struggle than Bernie Sanders,” said Ben Jealous, the former President and CEO of the NAACP. Jealous offered Sanders his endorsement last week.
Bill Perkins, the New York state senator who represents Harlem was also present, and offered a resounding vote support to Sanders who has struggled so far in the campaign to make inroads with black voters who have historically been loyal to the Clintons.
“Harlem represents the black community and communities of color in general and we’re going to make sure he’s in all those communities so they can all ‘feel the Bern!’” Perkins said. The state senator officially endorsed Sanders in December.
He said the Senator’s woes in finding a Black audience have to do with exposure, and that once black voters find out more about who Sanders is, support will follow. “The concerns about healthcare, the concerns about living wages, the concerns about racial inequality are concerns that resonate in the community,” Perkins said, adding “the voice that we’re hearing represent that may be new to the community but the issues are not.”
Sharpton previously sat down with then candidate Barack Obama at the iconic soul food restaurant in 2008 before ultimately endorsing him. The restaurant is located just a few blocks from the site where former president Bill Clinton famously opened his Clinton foundation office in 2001.
Top Republicans had hoped New Hampshire would winnow the field of candidates, shorten a seemingly endless campaign and finally bring their party closer to the White House with anyone not named Donald Trump. Instead, American conservatives woke up on Wednesday to a wide-open race even more uncertain than the day before.
“Iowa picks corn, New Hampshire picks presidents,” the mantra went, until grassroots movements frustrated parties’ control over the election year – frustration that reached a new peak in the sweeping victories on Tuesday by Trump and Bernie Sanders, two men campaigning as outsiders who mean to shake up the status quo.
Solidifying the anti-establishment mood was a stronger-than-expected showing here on Tuesday by Ted Cruz, the Texas senator who won the Iowa caucuses. Until now, New Hampshire’s social moderates had typically rebuked the ideological choices of Iowa’s evangelical electorate.
Despite finishing near the bottom of both the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary, former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina has pledged to remain in the Republican race for the presidency. Fiorina is taking on “the mainstream media,” a frequent target of her ire, for not including her in the most recent Republican presidential debate, and is girding herself for a fight to be included in the upcoming debate on Saturday.
Lost in the shuffle of last night: A record as old as the Union itself was shattered. Ben Jacobs reports from New Hampshire:
Bernie Sanders made history on Tuesday night as he became the first Jewish American to win a presidential primary. The milestone came just eight days after Ted Cruz became the first Hispanic American to win a presidential nominating contest with his win in the Iowa caucuses.
Chris Christie is expected to suspend presidential campaign
New Jersey governor Chris Christie is expected to suspend his presidential campaign after a disappointing sixth-place finish in last night’s New Hampshire primaries, ABC News is reporting.
The decision comes after a post-election huddle with his family and campaign advisors, with a statement about the campaign’s future expected as early as today.
“We bet the ranch on New Hampshire, and no one ever anticipated the Trump phenomenon,” the source told ABC News. “[Christie]’s a realist.”
Part of the equation: Whether Christie would qualify for the next Republican debate. With a sixth-place finish and a low ranking in national polling, Christie would have a hard time making the debate stage.
Christie had told a crowd of supporters in New Hampshire on Tuesday night that he was headed home to New Jersey to “take a deep breath.”
The most jarring detail from Ben Carson’s primary night, erm, “party,” courtesy Adam Gabbatt:
The attendance at the party briefly peaked at about 50 people. It wasn’t much of a party. Supporters milled around chatting. Food was served. There were two bars set up but neither was inundated. A woman working behind one of them spent much of her time knitting a blanket.
New Hampshire’s winners, losers and who?-sers
For those just catching up – or for those who wisely decided to stream Master Chef Junior instead of watching New Hampshire election returns – a quick breakdown of the winners, losers and really big losers of the Granite State’s unforgiving primaries.
Donald Trump: Winner
The real estate tycoon proved that his sky-high polling numbers can actually translate into votes with a double-digit win in the New Hampshire primaries. As long as the rest of the Republican field remains crowded with establishment infighting, the pro-Trump vote will outflank his opposition with ease.
Marco Rubio: Loser
He may have defied expectations in the Iowa caucuses with his almost-second finish, raising hopes for a candidate who could at long last consolidate the support of mainstream Republicans, but he lost the expectations game in a big way last night after a debate performance that left people looking for Rubio’s reboot button.
Bernie Sanders: Winner
The Vermont senator was always going to be formidable in neighboring New Hampshire, where the self-declared democratic socialist has been a ubiquitous presence in the state’s shared media market for years. But in beating Hillary Clinton by more than 20 points in a state that has a long history of accommodating downtrodden members of the Clinton clan – and doing so among every demographic of import – showed skeptical politicos that his populist message inspires more than hashtags: It inspires action.
Hillary Clinton: Loser
The former secretary of state not only lost by a massive margin in the state that saved her candidacy in 2008 – she lost the demographic battles that matter most to aspiring Democratic presidential candidates. If young people, liberals, moderates, women and those who make less than $200,000 aren’t voting for a candidate, that candidate’s “inevitability” argument starts to look shaky.
John Kasich: Winner
Or, at least, winner-ish. The moderate Ohio governor bet his political life on the plan that moderate New Hampshire Republicans and independents would take to a gruff, straight-talking Rust Belt executive. But Kasich’s success may represent a Pyrrhic victory for the so-called “establishment” wing of the Republican field – if the moderate vote continues to be divided, Solomon-style, between four candidates, it becomes that much easier for far-right candidates to march towards the convention unimpeded.
Jeb Bush: Loser
The son-of-a-former-president, brother-of-another-former-president spent a king’s ransom in New Hampshire, and it wasn’t in hopes of a fourth-place finish in a state his family might as well own. He’ll survive – he’s still got an entire Smaug cave of super PAC money to spend – but if voters didn’t like him in New Hampshire, they’ll loathe him in South Carolina.
Ted Cruz: Winner
Moderate, secular New Hampshire was never going to be Cruz Country – but his respectable third-place finish is sandwiched between a win in the Iowa caucuses and the upcoming evangelical-filled South Carolina primaries, where this son of a preacher man will be able to hold court with ease – and without mis-naming 2 Corinthians.
Chris Christie: Loser
The New Jersey governor’s kamikaze attack on Rubio in the final Republican debate ahead of the New Hampshire primaries may have deflated the Florida senator, but Rubio’s loss wasn’t Christie’s gain. As Cady Heron once said, “Calling somebody else fat won’t make you any skinnier. Calling someone stupid doesn’t make you any smarter. And ruining Marco Rubio’s life definitely didn’t make Chris Christie any happier.”
Carly Fiorina: Loser
The flash has gone from the pan in the unlikely campaign of this former Hewlett-Packard executive’s presidential campaign. With no presidential debate invitations forthcoming, Fiorina’s singular strength – her ability to spin mendacity into debate gold – has been taken from her.
Dr. Ben Carson: Loser
The former pediatric neurosurgeon’s long march into obscurity continues unabated, with less than two percent of New Hampshire voters pulling the lever for the man who admitted that foreign policy isn’t his strongest suit.
San Antonio Spurs head coach Gregg Popovich gets it.
At the end of courtside interview with Popovich, TNT reporter David Aldridge asked the coach whether he wanted to hear who won the New Hampshire primaries. “Yeah, who is it?” Popovich asked. “[Bernie] Sanders and [Donald] Trump,” Aldridge answered.
Popovich’s reaction is… well, we get it.
What last night taught us – and what we still have to learn
The voters are mad as hell, and they’re not gonna take it anymore.
Last night, however, frustration with a broken political system translated into more than chants and votes for pointless protest candidates. For politicos who viewed the polity’s love affair with Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders merely as summer romances – “Hillary Clinton will have the nomination locked up by March!” “Trump is just an early-fall amusement, like Halloween candy or NBC’s pilot season!” – the illusion that this cycle will be anything but a heartbreak for the establishment has officially been shattered.
Ten days before the next caucus/primary, here are some takeaways for the still-stunned:
Donald Trump isn’t just a force to be reckoned with – his message is, too. Two thirds of New Hampshire Republican primary voters declared that they want the federal government to implement a ban on Muslim immigrants to the United States – a position created, espoused and defended almost entirely by Trump. As easy as it was for experienced political watchers to dismiss voter attraction to Trump as a consequence of his celebrity, the real estate tycoon’s nativist sentiments have struck a chord with voters that other Republicans are too moderate – or too afraid – to play.
Bernie Sanders’ success indicates an existential threat to Hillary Clinton’s candidacy. Sanders beat Clinton in nearly every demographic group that matters to a Democratic presidential candidate: the young, the liberal, the moderate, those who make under $200,000 per year, and, most jarringly, among women. For a candidate who saved her campaign (for a time) in 2008 with tears shed in a New Hampshire diner, Clinton’s loss among women represents a demographic shift in support that should have her worried. The former secretary’s only saving grace: Sanders’ relatively anemic support among racial minorities. The Vermont senator, however, has a plan for that, and should it work, the “inevitability” argument for Clinton will have officially popped.
There’s no “white knight” establishment candidate to save the Republican Party – at least, not yet. For the so-called “mainstream” wing of the Grand Old Party, Marco Rubio’s surprise near-second-place finish in the Iowa caucuses represented an opportunity to re-take the race from Donald Trump and Ted Cruz. But Rubio’s robotic implosion during the last primary debate before the New Hampshire primaries decimated his support in a state where two-thirds of those who voted last night said that recent debates impacted their decision. Instead of winnowing the field of logical establishment candidates from four (John Kasich, Jeb Bush, Chris Christie and Rubio), New Hampshire made the race for the middle even more chaotic. Until the likely trio of establishment candidates – Christie has returned to his home state of New Jersey to reassess his campaign’s future – stop splitting the vote, Cruz and Trump’s road to the nomination will be paved in gold.
It was, first, a victory over his opponents. Keen to show magnanimity in triumph, Trump was quick to tell a victory party jammed with supporters how there were “some very talented people” among the rivals he had defeated – a tribute whose gracious exterior could not conceal the utter condescension within.
But Trump’s victory was over much more than the trailing pack of senators and governors squabbling over the right to consider themselves Trump’s challenger – who, in that very process, only confirmed his message that he stands on a plane above mere politicians.
Can’t bear to look? Here’s a recap of last night’s winners – and losers – in two minutes:
It was, agreed both winners, a “yuge” night in American politics.
A record number of New Hampshire voters queued in freezing traffic jams until well after polls were due to close to pick a Democrat and Republican candidate to run for president who had, until recently, belonged to neither party.
The rebellion against the political establishment was so overwhelming that no one even waited for the last-minute voters to make it in the door before declaring results that would have been unthinkable a few months ago: Bernie Sanders, a self-declared democratic socialist and independent senator from Vermont, had trounced Hillary Clinton in the Democratic race by almost 22 points. A bombastic property tycoon called Donald Trump had flattened a crop of Republican veterans who were once seen as the strongest field of conservative candidates for a generation.
What a primary day it has been…
Hello, and welcome to our coverage of the 2016 presidential campaign, the day after Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump made history in New Hampshire with respective victories for their unpredictable and “revolutionary” campaigns.
Trump, the billionaire who has mocked his opponents and inflamed anti-immigrant sentiment on his way to the top of the polls, won by a double-digit margin over the Republican field on Tuesday. Unusually emotional after the win, he told supporters: “I will be greatest jobs president God ever created.”
Relative moderate John Kasich won second place with 15.9%, followed by Ted Cruz (11.6%) and Jeb Bush (11.1%). Marco Rubio and Chris Christie trailed fifth and sixth, disappointing the former after a strong showing in Iowa, and possibly crushing the latter’s ambitions. Christie returned to his New Jersey home when results showed that his months of campaigning in New Hampshire failed to pay off.
Sanders meanwhile beat Hillary Clinton 60% to 38.4%, a vindication for a campaign that started with a handful of staffers out of Burlington, Vermont. Clinton leads Sanders nationally by more than 12 points, according to poll averages, but the senator has largely won young people away from the former secretary of state, chipping away at the margin.
The senator will begin his day by meeting Rev Al Sharpton at Sylvia’s restaurant in Harlem, New York – Jamiles Lartey will be at the scene for the Guardian – before he and Clinton head to the next round of primary states: South Carolina and Nevada.
Cruz has already reached South Carolina, where he hopes to reinvigorate evangelical voters who lifted him to victory in Iowa, and the pack of Republicans not named Donald Trump will lick their wounds and try to edge back into a race that remains as volatile as ever.