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Home Articles Circle Stock Analysis: Is Open USD Really a Threat to USDC?

Circle Stock Analysis: Is Open USD Really a Threat to USDC?

Crispus Nyaga
Crispus Nyaga
Crispus Nyaga
Author:
Crispus Nyaga
Writer
Crispus is a financial analyst with over 9 years in the industry. He covers cryptocurrencies, forex, equities, and commodities for some of the leading brands. He is also a passionate trader who operates his family account. Crispus lives in Nairobi with his wife and son.
Updated: July 1st, 2026
Editor:
Joseph Alalade
Joseph Alalade
Editor:
Joseph Alalade
News Lead and Editor
Joseph is a content writer and editor who has actively participated in crypto for over 6 years. He enjoys educating others about Web3 and covering its updates, regulatory developments, and exciting stories.
Fact Checker:
Joseph Alalade
Joseph Alalade
Fact Checker:
Joseph Alalade
News Lead and Editor
Joseph is a content writer and editor who has actively participated in crypto for over 6 years. He enjoys educating others about Web3 and covering its updates, regulatory developments, and exciting stories.

Circle stock continued its strong downward trend today after a group of technology and financial heavyweights teamed up to launch a stablecoin that will challenge USDC. CRCL dumped to $64.9, its lowest level since February 24, and 53% from its highest point in 2026.

Circle Stock After New Stablecoin Launch

The stablecoin industry is getting highly competitive, a move that may disrupt Circle’s growth. PayPal has already launched PYUSD, while SoFi has launched SoFiUSD. Western Union launched USDPT on Solana’s blockchain.

Now, a consortium of some of the world’s largest companies has launched Open Standard, whose stablecoin will be Open USD. This venture comprises companies such as Mastercard, Coinbase, Visa, and Google. In a statement, Zach Abrams, its founding CEO, said:

“Existing stablecoins have great strengths, but to use them at ⁠scale, businesses need something that’s open, low-cost, high-throughput, broadly accessible, and aligned ​to their interests.”

This announcement is notable because it includes Coinbase, which has a long relationship with Circle. Coinbase retains all yield income generated by its USDC holdings. It is also important because it includes some of the biggest players in the financial services industry, raising concerns about whether it will take market share from USDC.

READ MORE: Strategy Launches Digital Credit Capital Framework to Boost BTC Liquidity

Still, there are signs that investors are overreacting by dumping Circle’s shares. For one, data shows that newly launched stablecoins have not yet gained substantial market share.

PayPal’s PYUSD has a market cap of $2.6 billion, over three years since its launch. Ripple’s RLUSD has gained a market cap of over $1.6 billion in almost two years. Circle’s USDC and Tether’s USDT have maintained their market share. As such, it is unclear whether the new product will be enough to take market share from USDC.

Still, there are signs that USDC’s growth has slowed drastically in the past few days. Data shows that its market capitalization has dropped to $73.5 billion from a record high of $80 billion. With US bond yields falling, there is a possibility that its revenue growth will slow soon. This is the main challenge that Circle is facing today.

CRCL Stock Prediction: Technical Analysis

CRCL stock chart | Source: TradingView

The daily chart provides a clear reason for the plummet in CRCL stock price. It formed a double-top pattern at $135 and has now dropped below its neckline at $84.37, its lowest level in April this year. The stock has remained below all moving averages, while the Average Directional Index (ADX) has continued rising.

Therefore, the path of least resistance for the stock is downward, with the next target to watch at $50, its lowest level this year. Crashing below that level will point to further downside, potentially to $40.

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Crispus Nyaga
Writer
Crispus is a financial analyst with over 9 years in the industry. He covers cryptocurrencies, forex, equities, and commodities for some of the leading brands. He is also a passionate trader who operates his family account. Crispus lives in Nairobi with his wife and son.