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Home Articles XRP Price Prediction: What Happens if XRP Falls Below $1?

XRP Price Prediction: What Happens if XRP Falls Below $1?

Joseph Alalade
Joseph Alalade
Joseph Alalade
Author:
Joseph Alalade
News Lead and Editor
Joseph is a content writer and editor who has actively participated in crypto for over 6 years. He enjoys educating others about Web3 and covering its updates, regulatory developments, and exciting stories.
Updated: June 30th, 2026

XRP price has been falling since the start of the year, dropping about 50% from its yearly high. It is now holding near $1.04 as traders weigh new institutional demand against a market still testing long-term support. The latest boost for the XRP coin comes from capital flowing into spot products and growing utility on the XRP Ledger.

US XRP spot ETFs saw another $15.34 million in net inflows on Monday, which is notable since the asset had only $22.99 million in inflows last week. This brings total inflows to $1.48 billion and total net assets to $971.63 million. Bitwise leads with $505.17 million in inflows, followed by Canary with $463.99 million and Franklin with $410.35 million. Meanwhile, 21Shares remains negative at $20.17 million.

Network activity continued to grow. The stablecoin supply on the XRP Ledger rose nearly 10% over the past week to more than $856 million. This puts the chain 13th globally and close to surpassing Plasma and Avalanche if growth continues.

Ripple expanded further on June 25 by launching RLUSD in Japan through SBI Group and SBI VC Trade, after getting approval from the Japan Financial Services Agency. Ripple says RLUSD already has a $1.7 billion market cap, and the partnership aims to support payments, tokenization, and collateral use cases across Asia.

Santiment data shows growing interest even though Ripple’s XRP price remains unstable. The network added 4,941 new wallets in a single day, its strongest growth in over three months. Social sentiment was also positive, with 3.7 bullish comments for every bearish one, as traders saw the $1.00-$1.05 range as a buying zone.

XRP Network is Growing | Source: Santiment on X

XRP Price Prediction Focuses on What Comes Next Below $1 Support

Analyst Ali Martinez points to $1.06 as the key support level for XRP, based on Glassnode’s UTXO Realized Price Distribution model, which shows that over 830 million XRP were traded. If this level does not hold, the next major supports are at $0.80 with 923 million XRP, $0.62 with 1.16 billion XRP, and $0.51 with 1.06 billion XRP.

The XRP price is still hovering near that level. According to CoinMarketCap, XRP was trading at $1.04, with a market cap of $65.14 billion, a daily trading volume of $1.68 billion, and a 29.33% increase in trading volume.

Derivatives positions are mixed. Trading volume increased by 14.21% to $1.84 billion, options volume jumped 104.04%, and options open interest rose 6.39%. However, overall futures open interest fell 0.24% to $2.36 billion. Binance and OKX account ratios remained strongly long at 2.67 and 2.62, respectively. Top Binance traders had a 3.04 account ratio and a 1.53 position ratio. Long liquidations were higher than shorts over the 4-hour, 12-hour, and 24-hour periods.

The main question for the XRP price prediction is what will happen if the market drops below $1. URPD data show that $0.80 is the next major support level, followed by $0.62 and $0.51, each with strong historical trading volume.

XRP is now in its most oversold position in 13 years. However, ETF inflows and increased activity in the XRP ecosystem are helping to support the price as buyers defend current levels.

READ MORE: Top Crypto Market News To Watch This Week: Strategy, NFP, ETF Inflows

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Joseph Alalade
News Lead and Editor
Joseph is a content writer and editor who has actively participated in crypto for over 6 years. He enjoys educating others about Web3 and covering its updates, regulatory developments, and exciting stories.