Bitcoin price remained on edge on Tuesday as the recent consolidation continued. It has formed a risky chart pattern on the daily chart, indicating an eventual retreat, as Scott Ritter and other leading analysts predicted that Donald Trump would launch an attack on Iran. BTC price was trading at $68,000, down sharply from last year’s all-time high of $126,300.
Scott Ritter and Other Top Analysts Predict Trump Iran Attack
A major risk facing the Bitcoin price is that Donald Trump will eventually attack Iran and seek regime change in the country. In a statement on Monday, Scott Ritter, a popular analyst, predicted that Trump was using the ongoing talks with Iran as a delay tactic.
Ritter believes that the likelihood of a comprehensive agreement between Iran and the United States is limited, and that the US is seeking concessions that Iran will find unacceptable. For example, the US and Israel have demanded that Iran dismantle its ballistic missile program and stop funding proxies in the region.
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Trump has already deployed an armada to the region and recently sent another carrier group, which will arrive in the next few weeks. Iran, on the other hand, has warned that any US attack will lead to a prolonged regional war that will lead to higher crude oil prices and geopolitical tensions.
Historically, Bitcoin price tends to decline whenever geopolitical risks rise, as its role as a safe-haven asset has faded.
The Bitcoin price is also at risk of a significant decline due to reduced liquidity during the Lunar New Year in China. China remains a major participant in the crypto industry despite Beijing’s official ban.
Data show that spot market volume and futures open interest have declined over the past few months. Futures open interest has dropped to $43 billion from last year’s high of $95 billion.
Bitcoin Price Prediction: Technical Analysis
The daily timeframe chart shows that the Bitcoin price has declined over the past few months, moving from a high of $126,300 in October last year to the current $68,000. It has constantly remained below the 50-day and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) and the Supertrend indicators.
The coin is slowly forming a bearish pennant pattern, which is shown in green above. Its two lines are nearing their confluence, which normally leads to a bearish breakdown. If this happens, the coin may drop to the year-to-date low of $60,000.
On the flip side, a move above the key resistance level at $72,000 will invalidate the bearish outlook and indicate a brief rebound.
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