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Cardano Eyes Bullish Breakout After 17% Monthly Drop, Testing Key Trendline Resistance

Finance
Author:
Finance
Updated: October 16th, 2025
Editor:
Joseph Alalade
Joseph Alalade
Editor:
Joseph Alalade
News Lead and Editor
Joseph is a content writer and editor who has actively participated in crypto for over 6 years. He enjoys educating others about Web3 and covering its updates, regulatory developments, and exciting stories.

Cardano (ADA) stands at a key juncture, as its recent 17% monthly decline now collides with a resistance trendline that could influence its next move. While bears dominate the short-term narrative, a dramatic surge in whale accumulation and emerging bullish patterns suggest that this “Ethereum killer” might be preparing for a counterattack.

$ADA’s Current Performance 

Cardano price has declined by about 17% over the past month, currently trading at around $0.61. Its market cap has dropped to approximately $21.9 billion. Additionally, daily trading volumes have declined to $370 million, well below average, indicating reduced market activity. This decline fits with larger crypto market factors, including risk-off sentiment among investors amid macroeconomic uncertainty.

While the short-term picture remains cautious, analysts note the ADA price is reaching historically strong support levels. The token’s ability to stabilize here could signal a floor; however, a sustained recovery might depend on improved market-wide conditions and renewed developer engagement within the Cardano ecosystem.

Cardano Price Future Outlook

ADA is approaching a key moment on its daily chart, testing the short-term descending trendline that has capped rallies for weeks. A confirmed breakout above this trendline could shift momentum in favor of buyers, with a watch for a push toward resistance near $0.67.

However, if ADA fails to break through, traders warn of a possible drop below the support level at $0.54, which could trigger further declines. The next few daily closures are likely to determine ADA’s short-term direction.

Trend lines alone are not enough to confirm a reversal, as Cardano’s technical indicators show cautious momentum. The RSI stands at 44.17, indicating mild bearishness without oversold conditions. The MACD, at -0.02173, reflects negative momentum but hints at a possible bullish crossover if buying increases. The 10-day EMA near $0.55 acts as resistance, with most moving averages signaling a sell bias. Clearer signals and stronger volume are needed for a sustained move.

Mixed institutional and whale activities have influenced the ADA price in April. On-chain data shows varying sentiment. Huge ADA transactions hit a seven-day high of 4,730, while whale accumulation has slowed, and trade volumes remain subdued.

Rumors of a potential Cardano-Ripple partnership, possibly involving integration of Ripple’s RLUSD stablecoin, have surfaced but remain unconfirmed. Long-term optimism is also supported by Cardano’s modest total value locked in DeFi, approximately $300 million. However, the network faces ongoing challenges in sustaining developer activity. All these and many more work hand in hand to impact ADA’s price.

READ MORE: 570 Million DOGE Unloaded by Whales This Week—Is a Price Dip Coming?

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