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Home Articles Bitcoin Price Prediction: Beware of These Risks as BTC Rebounds

Bitcoin Price Prediction: Beware of These Risks as BTC Rebounds

Crispus Nyaga
Crispus Nyaga
Crispus Nyaga
Author:
Crispus Nyaga
Writer
Crispus is a financial analyst with over 9 years in the industry. He covers cryptocurrencies, forex, equities, and commodities for some of the leading brands. He is also a passionate trader who operates his family account. Crispus lives in Nairobi with his wife and son.
Updated: October 13th, 2025
Editor:
Joseph Alalade
Joseph Alalade
Editor:
Joseph Alalade
News Lead and Editor
Joseph is a content writer and editor who has actively participated in crypto for over 6 years. He enjoys educating others about Web3 and covering its updates, regulatory developments, and exciting stories.
Fact Checker:
Joseph Alalade
Joseph Alalade
Fact Checker:
Joseph Alalade
News Lead and Editor
Joseph is a content writer and editor who has actively participated in crypto for over 6 years. He enjoys educating others about Web3 and covering its updates, regulatory developments, and exciting stories.

Bitcoin price staged a strong recovery after Donald Trump and JD Vance left the door open for a potential deal with China. BTC price rose to $114,000, up sharply from last week’s low of $108,000. This article explores why it is rising and the potential risks. 

Why Bitcoin Price is Rising Today

Bitcoin price is rising as investors buy the dip after the recent crash that pushed it to the lowest level in weeks. It is common for investors to buy the dip after a substantial drop, such as when it dropped at the onset of Donald Trump’s trade war.

The coin is also jumping after Donald Trump and JD Vance signaled openness to a China deal after the recent escalation, in which Trump threatened to impose tariffs of over 130% at the end of the month. 

China has also announced that it would impose tariffs on US ships docking in its waters, start export controls on its rare earth metals, and investigate American companies. In a statement, Trump noted that he was willing to do a deal with China, saying:

“Don’t worry about China, it will all be fine! Highly respected President Xi just had a bad moment. He doesn’t want Depression for his country, and neither do I. The U.S.A. wants to help China, not hurt it!!!”

The two sides will likely reach an agreement later this month when Trump and Xi Jinping meet in South Korea at the APEC Summit. In most cases, the two sides normally escalate and then de-escalate over time.

The Bitcoin price is also rising as investors anticipate that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in the upcoming meeting due to the deteriorating labor market and softening economy. Bitcoin and the crypto market do well when the Fed is cutting rates.

READ MORE: Crypto Fear and Greed and Altcoin Season Index Slumps as Losses Mount

BTC Price Faces Potential Risks

There are potential risks that could hit Bitcoin in the coming weeks. First, there is a risk that the rebound is a dead cat bounce (DCB), which is a temporary rebound that happens when an asset is in a downward trajectory. In most cases, assets tend to fall after the temporary rebound.

The other risk is that the weekly chart shows the coin has formed a giant rising wedge pattern, characterized by two rising and converging trendlines. In most cases, this pattern often leads to a strong bearish breakout.

Bitcoin has also formed a bearish divergence pattern as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the MACD have continued falling despite the coin being in a bull run.

Bitcoin price
BTC price chart 

A good example of the rising wedge at work is in the daily chart of the Dow Jones Index. This chart shows that the index formed a rising wedge, with its two lines nearing convergence last week, leading to a strong bearish breakdown.

Dow Jones
Dow Jones Index chart

More downside for the Dow Jones and other American indices, such as the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100, will likely lead to a steeper crash of Bitcoin and altcoins.

READ MORE: Will the Crypto Market Go Back Up Soon?

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Contributors

Crispus Nyaga
Writer
Crispus is a financial analyst with over 9 years in the industry. He covers cryptocurrencies, forex, equities, and commodities for some of the leading brands. He is also a passionate trader who operates his family account. Crispus lives in Nairobi with his wife and son.