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Home Articles Avalanche Price Prediction as AVAX Defends Cycle Lows

Avalanche Price Prediction as AVAX Defends Cycle Lows

Joseph Alalade
Joseph Alalade
Joseph Alalade
Author:
Joseph Alalade
News Lead and Editor
Joseph is a content writer and editor who has actively participated in crypto for over 6 years. He enjoys educating others about Web3 and covering its updates, regulatory developments, and exciting stories.
Updated: February 21st, 2026
Editor:
Joseph Alalade
Joseph Alalade
Editor:
Joseph Alalade
News Lead and Editor
Joseph is a content writer and editor who has actively participated in crypto for over 6 years. He enjoys educating others about Web3 and covering its updates, regulatory developments, and exciting stories.

Avalanche price is currently trading around $9.17 as analysts keep a close eye on the $8.75 support and $10 resistance levels, with the prediction market’s growth further highlighting the importance of infrastructure.

Avalanche crypto is up 2.87% over the last 24 hours, trading between $8.89 and $9.34 as demand has emerged at the lower end of this range. Daily volume totaled $291.53 million, a 39.15% increase. As a result, the volume-to-market-cap ratio has risen to 7.36%, with the total market capitalization at $3.96 billion.

This slight uptick comes amid broader discussions about infrastructure and prediction markets, despite lower fee generation than other Layer-1 chains.

Avalanche Positioned for Prediction Market Growth as Network Economics Trail Peers

Prediction markets expanded 130-fold between early 2024 and year-end 2025, rising from under $100 million in monthly volume to $13 billion. This is because trading volume totaled $44 billion in 2025, with Kalshi and Polymarket accounting for $37 billion. Industry revenues are set to exceed $10 billion by 2030.

Avalanche is positioning itself as infrastructure to support this growth. Avalanche claims to provide finality in 0.8 seconds and charges a $0.02 fee, with applications running on their own Avalanche L1s. This isolation approach aims to prevent spillovers during high-traffic events.

At the protocol level, validator standards are tightening. The Primary Network uptime requirement is rising from 80% to 90%. Validators falling below that threshold forfeit rewards for themselves and delegators, reinforcing reliability as a priority.

Still, current network economics remain muted. Avalanche generated $283,200 in fees over the past 30 days, equal to protocol revenue because all transaction fees are burned. That represents just 0.1% of the $517.6 million in total Layer-1 fees and 0.1% of the $355.3 million in Layer-1 revenue over the same period.

The daily fees have remained below $15,000, except for a late January increase to over $50,000. Avalanche ranks 9th for fees and 7th for revenue, according to TokenTerminal data.

For “Active Usage,” monthly active users have been steady at 1.7 million, or 0.8% of the 221.0 million users across layer-1 chains, placing Avalanche 11th for this metric. The user base has been flat as well.

AVAX Price Builds Above $8.75 as Upside Discussed

Technical data shows the Avalanche price holding above the $8.75 area, as flagged by popular crypto analyst Ali Charts. That level defines near-term structure. As long as the Avalanche coin trades above $8.75, the scenario remains valid for a rebound toward $10.

Vuori Trading suggests that AVAX is currently defending the lows of the 2022-2023 cycle, and previous breakdowns did not undercut those lows. “Still expecting at least $60B with the next impulse,” the analyst maintains. The $60 billion level is approximately 20x the current level, suggesting a long-term Avalanche market prediction rather than an immediate focus.

In the short term, Avalanche price has rebounded from $8.89 and is pressing toward the upper end of the $8.89–$9.34 range. A 39.15% volume expansion suggests improved participation on the bounce, though price remains well below its $146.22 all-time high and above its $2.79 cycle low.

Avalanche price is consolidating near $9.17. The immediate test is whether buyers can sustain closes above $9 and keep $8.75 intact. A failure there reopens the range lows, while a sustained hold keeps the $10 level on the table.

READ MORE: Chiliz Price Weakens as Indicators Flash Strong Sell

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Joseph Alalade
News Lead and Editor
Joseph is a content writer and editor who has actively participated in crypto for over 6 years. He enjoys educating others about Web3 and covering its updates, regulatory developments, and exciting stories.