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Home Articles Toncoin Price Outlook as Telegram Takes Over TON Ecosystem Control

Toncoin Price Outlook as Telegram Takes Over TON Ecosystem Control

Joseph Alalade
Joseph Alalade
Joseph Alalade
Author:
Joseph Alalade
News Lead and Editor
Joseph is a content writer and editor who has actively participated in crypto for over 6 years. He enjoys educating others about Web3 and covering its updates, regulatory developments, and exciting stories.
Updated: May 4th, 2026

Toncoin price surged almost 15% on Monday after Pavel Durov confirmed Telegram will replace the independent TON Foundation as the primary network operator and assume the role of the largest validator on the chain.

The TON token ran from a $1.354 open to a $1.598 intraday high on $309 million in volume, a 324.82% explosion in activity, before pulling back to close near $1.544. Two separate catalysts hit in the same session, and the market priced both.

Telegram Steps Into Protocol Control

An initial 4% move had already printed earlier in the day after MTONGA assumed control of the TON blockchain’s website.

MTONGA now controls ton.org | Source: www.ton.org

“MTONGA” is an acronym for “Make TON Great Again,” a seven-step roadmap initiated by Telegram founder Pavel Durov in April 2026 to enhance the speed, scalability, and usability of the Toncoin (TON) blockchain. The initiative aims to position TON as a, or near-feeless, mobile-first settlement layer for Telegram’s 1 billion+ users.

Durov’s announcement accelerated what had started. Three deliverables are committed for within two to three weeks: a relaunched ton.org, new developer tooling, and a full network performance upgrade.

Fees have already been cut by a factor of six to near zero, according to a recent Bankless Times report, a structural change in transaction economics that precedes the governance shift.

Toncoin Price Eyes $1.947 as Base Breakout Gains Volume

Technically, the Bollinger Band structure had been capping the price for weeks. The 20-period SMA sat exactly at the $1.354 open, with the upper band at $1.469 acting as near-term resistance. Buyers stepped through both levels cleanly, and the session low of $1.352 briefly undercut the open before control was reasserted, and the $1.544 close printed above the upper band.

TON/USDT daily chart | Source: TradingView

Analyst Don on social media platform X flagged the setup on a longer timeframe, identifying the $1.44–$1.55 range as a consolidation base following a prolonged downtrend, with price now attempting to break out of that structure. He places the immediate target at $1.947, with an extended objective at $6.899 on a full recovery of the prior range.

The price prediction for Toncoin from here has two reference points. Don’s base breakout thesis puts $1.947 as the first level that validates continuation, roughly a 26% extension from Monday’s close. Below that, the SMA20 at $1.354 and the lower Bollinger Band at $1.239 define the risk side of the range.

Whether Telegram’s infrastructure delivery in the next two to three weeks gives buyers reason to hold above $1.469 is the question the chart is now asking.

READ MORE: Traders Flag Supply Control Risk in SKYAI, GENIUS, Chiliz and More

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Joseph Alalade
News Lead and Editor
Joseph is a content writer and editor who has actively participated in crypto for over 6 years. He enjoys educating others about Web3 and covering its updates, regulatory developments, and exciting stories.