The Aster coin (ASTER) is entering the new week on a firmer footing after another round of heavy buybacks, a major shift in token unlock schedules, and the launch of the project’s most ambitious trading campaign to date. ASTER is trading around the $1.20–$1.22 range at the time of writing, holding its weekend levels despite sharp intraday swings.
Aster spent 19.5 million USDT last week to repurchase 18.9 million ASTER, bringing its Season 3 cumulative total to more than 47 million ASTER bought back. With only 2.01 billion tokens circulating out of an 8 billion max supply, the ongoing weekly absorption is beginning to show a tangible impact on liquidity.
That pressure eased further after the team confirmed that major token unlocks originally scheduled for 2025 will now be staggered from 2026 through 2035, removing the dilution risk that had weighed on the chart since Q3. The change appears to have steadied near-term sentiment: on TradingView, ASTER/USDT has held above $1.20 despite a brief dip under $1.21 earlier in the session.
Trading Event That Could Reshape Aster’s Volume Profile
The next catalyst is already in motion. Aster’s Double Harvest Era, a five-week perpetuals competition offering up to $10 million in rewards, opened on November 17. Each phase lasts seven days, resets weekly, and requires at least $100,000 in trading volume to qualify. The top-three finishers must generate more than $5 million in volume to receive prizes.
Events like this have mattered before. A similar campaign in September 2025 pushed Aster’s volume above $37 billion, driven by traders accumulating ASTER to enter or climb the leaderboard. With buybacks running simultaneously and unlock pressure reduced, analysts say the market is positioned for another potential volume spike if participation climbs in the first few days.
For now, the combination of structural supply tightening and fresh trading incentives is giving ASTER a more supportive backdrop than it has seen in weeks.
Aster Coin Price Prediction: What Traders Are Watching Next
Momentum traders remain optimistic. On X, analyst Olki highlighted a rounded-bottom structure forming on the four-hour chart, calling the setup “clear strength” and suggesting ASTER could target $5 if volume confirms a breakout. His chart shows the token pressing into a long-standing resistance band that has capped rallies since October.
More conservative chart analysts disagree. They argue that ASTER must first reclaim $1.30–$1.40 with conviction, and ideally during the early phases of the trading competition, before any multi-dollar targets are realistic. Until then, they see the token oscillating within its current range.
The immediate levels traders are watching are $1.18 as local support and $1.30 as the breakout trigger. With the new event underway, liquidity could shift quickly.
Whether ASTER Coin rides the coming volatility higher or slips back into consolidation will likely depend on how aggressively traders engage in the first week of the competition.
READ MORE: Metaplanet Stock Stalls at a Key Support: Will it Crash to ¥294?
