XRP price continued its strong downward trend this week and is now hovering near its lowest level since November 2024. The Ripple token has slumped by 56% from its highest level in July last year, a decline that has erased billions of dollars from its market cap.
XRP Price Prediction: Technical Analysis Points to a Steeper Crash
The weekly chart shows that the XRP price has been in a strong freefall in the past few months, moving from a high of $3.6622 in July to the current $1.6010.
It has fallen below the key support level at $1.7920, its lowest level since October, November, and December 2025.
Additionally, the coin has moved below the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement level, while the Average Directional Index (ADX) has jumped to 27, its highest level since March 17. A rising ADX indicates that the downtrend is gaining momentum.
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The coin has also dropped below the neckline of the double-top pattern, confirming the bearish outlook. It also remains below the Supertrend indicator and the Ichimoku cloud.
Therefore, the most likely Ripple price forecast is bearish, with the next key support level to watch at the psychological $1.00, which coincides with the 78.60% Fibonacci Retracement level. This target is about 37% below the current level.
Why the Ripple Price is Crashing
The XRP price is in a steep downward trend, thanks to the ongoing crypto market crash that has hit Bitcoin and most altcoins.
This crash is happening as investors adopt a risk-off sentiment, as evidenced by the falling Fear and Greed Index, which has moved from the year-to-date high of 60 to the current 18.
XRP has also dropped because of the waning ETF inflows. Data compiled by SoSoValue suggest that XRP ETFs recorded a net inflow of $15 million last month, following net inflows of $499 million and $666 million in the previous two consecutive months. The funds shed $52 million and $40 million in the last two weeks.
There are also signs that the momentum of Ripple USD (RLUSD) has faded. Data shows that the supply of RLUSD stablecoin has stagnated at $1.3 billion, while the number of addresses has stalled at 4.8k.
The volume of RLUSD traded over the past 30 days was $3.5 billion. In contrast, PayPal’s PYUSD had over $10.9 billion in volume and 77.8k addresses.
XRP price will be affected by geopolitical factors, the upcoming U.S. non-farm payrolls report, and U.S. corporate earnings.
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