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Filecoin Price Outlook Shows Limited Downside Risk

Joseph Alalade
Joseph Alalade
Joseph Alalade
Author:
Joseph Alalade
News Lead and Editor
Joseph is a content writer and editor who has actively participated in crypto for over 6 years. He enjoys educating others about Web3 and covering its updates, regulatory developments, and exciting stories.
Updated: December 28th, 2025

Filecoin price moved higher over the past 24 hours, gaining about 5.7% and trading around $1.31. Market cap rose to $961.07 million, while 24-hour trading volume jumped 90.86% to $168.42 million on CoinMarketCap. FIL appeared among today’s top gainers, signaling renewed activity rather than idle price drift.

A new fundamental development has also entered the picture. Filecoin Onchain Cloud announced the addition of warm storage via Proof of Data Possession (PDP). Providers can keep unsealed datasets online and post frequent proofs on-chain, while smart contracts enforce uptime terms and pause payments if proofs stop.

https://twitter.com/Filecoin/status/2005028451024056451

This expands Filecoin beyond cold archival storage toward verifiable, readily accessible data, enabling new use cases that require faster availability while maintaining integrity and openness.

Filecoin Price Prediction: Analyst Chart Highlights Major Targets

Steph Is Crypto underscores that point, stating: Filecoin ($FIL) is one of the most asymmetric risk-reward setups in crypto right now.” He points out that the FIL Coin is not just a meme or narrative token, but is the main platform for decentralized data storage used by AI models, blockchains, NFTs, and Web3 apps. He connects its adoption potential to growing AI demand and concerns about centralized cloud risks.

READ MORE: SEI Coin Tests Range Highs As Absorption Pattern Forms

The analyst’s chart frames the trade in terms of scenarios. He writes: “The chart shows the math: limited downside, massive upside if adoption catches up.” The visual highlights a defined −30% downside box below current levels and then lays out multiple upside target bands.

https://twitter.com/Steph_iscrypto/status/2005278814621086168

Initial upside levels marked on the chart sit around $2.10 and $3.047, followed by higher historical zones near $8.450, $11.000, $20.718, $31.000, and $47.125. The final band is labeled around $182.744 and explicitly annotated as “+11,700%” relative to current prices

In practical trading terms, the chart presents a clearly defined invalidation area to the downside, with a stepped series of resistance levels above, suggesting an asymmetric risk-reward profile if price begins to reclaim successive ranges.

Meanwhile, another well-followed cryptocurrency analyst, LaCryptoLycus, focuses on timing rather than levels, stating: “$FIL is entering a very important phase again.”

Reviewing the past three years, he notes that Filecoin has consistently topped out around Q1 and adds that after prolonged low-level trading, “I think we are almost bottom out.” He concludes that the coming months could favor the upside, making this Q1 of 2026 a key period to watch.

In the near term, breakout focus sits near prior resistance zones highlighted on Steph’s chart, while failure risk clusters near the lower boundary of his −30% risk box. Rising volume without indicator deterioration suggests improving participation, but confirmation still requires acceptance above successive resistance levels.

READ MORE: Solana Price Prediction 2026: Risky Pattern Forms Despite Key Catalysts

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Joseph Alalade
News Lead and Editor
Joseph is a content writer and editor who has actively participated in crypto for over 6 years. He enjoys educating others about Web3 and covering its updates, regulatory developments, and exciting stories.