Celestia coin (TIA) is staging a relief rally, climbing over 5% in the past 24 hours to trade at $1.81, after a wave of bullish catalysts reignited trader interest. The upside comes as the blockchain’s Matcha (v6) upgrade went live on Arabica testnet, introducing its most significant technical overhaul yet, including 128MB block scaling and a 50% cut to inflation.
Celestia’s upgrade is being billed as a turning point for the modular blockchain. Matcha implements six major proposals (CIP-36 to CIP-41), including reduced validator inflation from 5% to 2.5%, doubled minimum commissions (10%), and support for bridging non-native assets across ecosystems.
The move positions TIA as more attractive collateral for DeFi while preparing for a future shift toward Proof-of-Governance.
Moreover, the Celestia coin daily trading volume surged 135% to $224.8 million, according to CoinMarketCap, while the circulating market cap hit $1.4 billion.
Despite these short-term inflows, on-chain data paints a mixed picture: active weekly addresses have plunged to 16,300, ranking Celestia just 19th among Layer-1s, far behind rivals like NEAR Protocol and Solana, Token Terminal data shows.
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Analysts Predict Celestia Price Rally to $4.20
Well-known cryptocurrency analysts remain divided on the trajectory of the Celestia coin price. Jonathan Carter, a popular chartist, flagged a descending channel breakout on the daily chart, pointing to rising volume as confirmation that “rally preparation [is] complete.”
Carter set successive upside targets at $2.20, $2.70, $3.38, and $4.20, framing the setup as “the breakout that catches everyone sleeping.” His analysis suggests that if bulls maintain momentum, $TIA could reclaim psychological levels last seen before its mid-2024 slide.
Captain Faibik, another widely followed trader, echoed the optimism, predicting a +150% rally that could carry the Celestia coin price well beyond its current consolidation range. His chart highlights a long-term downtrend line finally breaking, a signal often interpreted as the beginning of a new bullish cycle.
However, the downside risk is equally stark. Year-to-date, Celestia (TIA) remains down 60%, and monthly active addresses have collapsed nearly 90% from early 2024 highs of 400,000. Sustained lack of network activity may cap rallies unless developer adoption or new DeFi integrations materialize.
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